While this is not a guarantee, the data is encouraging.

When Will the Endemic Phase Begin?

When COVID-19 may reach the endemic phase is still not completely understood, the study authors say.

Illustration of crowd of people wearing face masks.

Lyubov Ivanova / Getty Images

Lavine explains that this timeline will depend on a few different factors.

One is how quickly the virus spreads.

However, the immunologist still argues that the virus will uphold deadly consequences.

“In the long term, will this disease go away?

Not for a while, " Pillai says.

For the most recent updates on COVID-19, visit ourcoronavirus news page.

Lavine J, Bjornstad O, Anita R.Immunological characteristics govern the transition of COVID-19 to endemicity.Science.

12 Jan 2021. doi:10.1126/science.abe6522

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.COVID-19 data tracker.